Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 896.589254 1018.110027 1155.082345 1321.910718 1520.967148 1752.565885 2044.909073
2025-02-02 729.301838 889.283287 1087.334709 1354.651578 1712.513698 2184.734383 2871.942143
2025-02-09 638.887466 814.306485 1044.754331 1377.519560 1859.489024 2555.424256 3683.061090
2025-02-16 565.677140 745.562733 992.882812 1369.490744 1950.882643 2856.212652 4467.689011
2025-02-23 523.383430 710.711518 979.035458 1408.087507 2111.522944 3290.365145 5598.108172
2025-03-02 488.346527 680.469590 965.687691 1442.042108 2267.080251 3748.365027 6930.362850
2025-03-09 452.457763 644.112253 937.287364 1445.420668 2368.501755 4130.983698 8257.192077
2025-03-16 417.155891 604.554681 898.520793 1424.367488 2419.975269 4427.649920 9514.427321
2025-03-23 395.312570 583.584164 886.762267 1447.481492 2557.388763 4934.129385 11523.163329
2025-03-30 363.959575 544.362334 840.333192 1401.020257 2547.523446 5115.212766 12745.311954
2025-04-06 337.229272 510.443385 799.528659 1359.505662 2540.064569 5299.861713 14080.432823
2025-04-13 312.626409 478.146985 758.556999 1312.499617 2512.579751 5429.207565 15318.096638
2025-04-20 304.493425 473.922598 768.313191 1369.738661 2735.781366 6292.773284 19850.526017
2025-04-27 293.166916 463.368047 765.805347 1402.578906 2912.784994 7108.086384 25051.104727
2025-05-04 281.804711 451.665987 759.735081 1426.669668 3073.893617 7944.024980 31340.718272
2025-05-11 267.628848 433.753754 740.036126 1418.250516 3150.258685 8547.172286 37270.392453
2025-05-18 260.146388 427.406920 742.065033 1458.629501 3367.244805 9731.317194 48640.374479
2025-05-25 252.653212 420.404957 742.016808 1494.161196 3580.591261 11020.735749 63634.878303
2025-06-01 242.573891 407.757352 729.299622 1497.697349 3701.747866 12019.811635 78999.065783
2025-06-08 230.925002 391.312844 707.317930 1475.664142 3740.195493 12697.202649 93436.090100
2025-06-15 224.250986 384.043590 703.938314 1499.854324 3932.997414 14199.658075 123254.957001
2025-06-22 211.913482 364.895179 673.687884 1451.235028 3874.371784 14459.569955 137812.275741
2025-06-29 200.878789 347.729416 646.535494 1407.809669 3825.678144 14760.702293 155053.872731